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forecasting

A collection of 2 posts
Book Review: The Signal and the Noise
and

Book Review: The Signal and the Noise

Ever since he took the world of political punditry by storm in 2008 with his electoral prediction website, FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver has been one of the more high profile stats-gurus going around. Having been an avid follower of his blog (before and after its move to The New York Times)
Mar 17, 2013 3 min read
economic forecasting

The Virtues of Contrariness in Economic Forecasting

Economists as a whole are notorious for their poor forecasting predictions, which is why the saying “economists predicted nine out of the last five recessions,” is so well known. Economic forecasting is no doubt a difficult task. There are those few economists who are known for ‘getting it right’ or
Dec 16, 2012 3 min read
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